GLOBAL REPORT

1. Executive Summary Global Risk Score: 4/5 (High Instability) driven by concurrent military escalations in Mali, Ukraine, and Middle East with diplomatic tensions between major powers exacerbating systemic risk. Energy Markets: World Bank forecasts 24% price increase as UAE exits

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Iran-US standoff driving 24% energy price surge forecast for 2026, with oil markets experiencing highest volatility since 2022 UAE exits OPEC after 60 years, marking historic structural shift with USA now designated swing producer OpenAI missed internal

1. Executive Summary Iran-US confrontation enters day 60 with blockade affecting Strait of Hormuz, driving 24% energy price surge forecast (World Bank) and forcing US to assume OPEC swing producer role after UAE exit. OpenAI misses internal targets triggering tech

1. Executive Summary UAE exits OPEC after 60 years, triggering structural collapse of oil cartel; World Bank forecasts 24% energy price surge in 2026 Nasdaq declined 1.3% on OpenAI internal target miss; semiconductor stocks led tech sector sell-off Russian GRU’s

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY UAE departs OPEC/OPEC+ amid Yemen strikes and Lebanon border destruction, triggering energy market reconfiguration with US assuming swing producer role (Severity: 5/5, Confidence: 85%) OpenAI earnings miss triggers AI sector correction: Nasdaq falls 0.8%, Nvidia/Oracle/ARM sell-off, while

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Iran-US tensions driving LNG supply disruptions with China imports plunging; US exporters filling Qatar-sized gap (Severity 5, Confidence 85%) Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit record highs led by Micron, Nvidia, Alphabet while consumer/EV stocks decline (Lucid -5.12%,

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Attempted assassination of US President Trump at White House Correspondents’ Dinner by gunman Cole Thomas Allen charged – severity level 5, 6 sources confirm US-Iran peace talks stalled driving oil prices higher, chip stocks under pressure, P&G

1. Executive Summary Iran-Middle East Crisis Escalating: US-Iran peace talks stalled with 9-source confirmation; Strait of Hormuz threats driving oil price surge; US exporters filling Qatar-sized LNG and crude supply gaps as OPEC swing producer crown shifts to America. Ukraine-Russia

1. Executive Summary Global Risk Score: 4.2/5 – Elevated risk driven by simultaneous military escalations in Africa and Eastern Europe, coupled with diplomatic instability in North America and Middle East. Hormuz Strait Threat: Iran war tensions threaten oil flows with

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Russia escalates Ukraine assault with 600+ drones and 47 missiles, causing 12 civilian deaths across Dnipro and multiple regions (6 sources, severity 8/10) Iran-Hormuz oil disruption continues destabilizing energy markets; Asian shipowners rerouting ahead of Western firms